HOME         WEBSITE         SUBSCRIBE           E-GREETINGS   
                               

Friday, July 17, 2009

Crude pares earlier losses

Prices rise on back of positive economic data

Crude prices gave up earlier losses and managed to end higher on Thursday, 16 July, 2009. Prices rose today on the back of positive economic data.

On Thursday, crude-oil futures for light sweet crude for August delivery closed at $62.05/barrel (higher by $0.51 or 0.8%). Earlier, it fell to a low of $60.29. Last week, crude ended lower by 10.3%.

For the month of June, 2009, crude ended higher by 5.5%. In May, crude had registered the largest monthly gain in a decade rising 30%. For the second quarter, crude ended higher by 40%. Crude prices had rallied 11.3% in the first quarter of 2009.

Oil prices had reached a high of $147 on 11 July, 2008 but have dropped almost 62% since then. In July, 2009, it has dropped by 11% till date. Year to date, in 2009, crude prices are higher by 40%.

The Labor Department reported on Thursday, 16 July, 2009 that the number of initial claims in the week ending 11 July, 2009 fell 47,000 to 522,000 - the lowest level since early January, 2009.

Also today, China reported that its gross domestic product grew by 7.9% in the April-June quarter from the year-earlier period, as government-led stimulus measures and strong bank lending spurred domestic consumption and industrial activity.

EIA reported yesterday that U.S. crude inventories fell 2.8 million barrels in the week ended Friday, 10 July, 2009. The drawdown in crude inventories came as crude-oil inputs in U.S. refineries rose to 15.105 million barrels a day last week, the highest level since late August. Refiners' utilization rate rose to 87.9%.

EIA also reported that gasoline inventories rose 1.5 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, rose 600,000 barrels. Demand for petroleum products, however, remained weak, pushing total petroleum product inventories to 771.6 million barrels last week, up 4.6 million barrels from a week ago. That's the highest level since September 1998.

Earlier during the week, in its latest monthly report, OPEC reported that global oil demand will fall by 1.6 million barrels a day this year from a year ago. It also said the cartel increased its production in June for a third straight month. As per OPEC, oil demand will fall this year as the global economy is expected to contract 1.4%. The cartel, which accounts for about one third of the world's oil production, also said its oil production in June rose to 28.441 million barrels a day.

Also at the Nymex on Thursday, August reformulated gasoline rose slightly to $1.7135 a gallon and August heating oil slid 1.73 cents, or 1.1%, to $1.5994 a gallon.

August natural gas futures jumped 38.5 cents, or 12%, to $3.668 per million British thermal units. EIA reported today that U.S. supplies of natural gas in storage rose 90 billion cubic feet last week, smaller than expected.

Crude prices had ended FY 2008 lower by 54%, the largest yearly loss since trading began at Nymex.

At the MCX, crude oil for August delivery closed at Rs 3,031/barrel, lower by Rs 28 (0.91%) against previous day's close. Natural gas for July delivery closed at Rs 177.2/mmbtu, higher by Rs 17.3/mmbtu (10.8%).

Posted by

Blog Archive

____________________________________________________________________________________________

Disclaimer - All investments in Mutual Funds and securities are subject to market risks and uncertainty of dividend distributions and the NAV of schemes may go up or down depending upon factors and forces affecting securities markets generally. The past performance of the schemes is not necessarily indicative of the future performance and may not necessarily provide a basis for comparison with other investments. Investors are advised to go through the respective offer documents before making any investment decisions. Prospective client(s) are advised to go through all comparable products in offer before taking any investment decisions. Mutual Funds and securities investments are subject to market risks and there is no assurance or guarantee that the objectives of the fund will be achieved. Information gathered & material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. Decisions based on the information provided on this newsletter/document are for your own account and risk.


In the preparation of the material contained in this document, Varun Vaid has used information that is publicly available, including information developed in-house. Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from members/persons other than the Varun Vaid and which may have been made available to Varun Vaid. Information gathered & material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. Varun Vaid however does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and/or completeness of any information. For data reference to any third party in this material no such party will assume any liability for the same. Varun Vaid does not in any way through this material solicit any offer for purchase, sale or any financial transaction/commodities/products of any financial instrument dealt in this material. All recipients of this material should before dealing and or transacting in any of the products referred to in this material make their own investigation, seek appropriate professional advice.


Varun Vaid, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any decision taken on the basis of this material. All recipients of this material should before dealing and/or transacting in any of the products referred to in this material make their own investigation, seek appropriate professional advice. The investments discussed in this material may not be suitable for all investors. Any person subscribing to or investigating in any product/financial instruments should do soon the basis of and after verifying the terms attached to such product/financial instrument. Financial products and instruments are subject to market risks and yields may fluctuate depending on various factors affecting capital/debt markets. Please note that past performance of the financial products and instruments does not necessarily indicate the future prospects and performance there of. Such past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Varun Vaid, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material may; (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation in the financial instruments/products/commodities discussed here in or act as advisor or lender / borrower in respect of such securities/financial instruments/products/commodities or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The said person may have acted upon and/or in a manner contradictory with the information contained here. No part of this material may be duplicated in whole or in part in any form and or redistributed without the prior written consent of Varun Vaid. This material is strictly confidential to the recipient and should not be reproduced or disseminated to anyone else.


Varun Vaid also does not take any responsibility for the contents of the advertisements published. Readers are advised to verify the contents on their own before acting there upon.


Published Credits goes to following sources & all the mentioned sources as footer below the published material- Bloomberg, Valueresearch Online, Capital Market, Navindia, Franklin Templeton, Kitco, SBI AMC, LIC AMC, JM Financial AMC, HDFC AMC, The Hindu, Business Line, Personal FN, Economic Times, Reuters, Outlook Money, Business Standard, Times of India etc.