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Thursday, July 02, 2009

Inflation at -1.30%

Food inflation is on elevated level

The WPI based inflation inflation recorded negative growth rate in third consecutive week. The official Wholesale Price Index for 'All Commodities' for the week ended 20th June 2009 rose by 0.2 percent to 234.6 from 234.2 last week. Headline inflation rate recorded 1.30% fall for the week ended 20 June 2009 compared with 1.14% fall last week and 11.91% growth during the week ended 21 June 2008.

The index for primary articles rose by 0.5 percent to 257.6 from 256.3 last week. The index for 'Food Articles' group rose by 0.6 percent to 252.8 from 251.2 for the previous week due to higher prices of fruits & vegetables (4%) and arhar (1%). However, the prices of fish-marine and tea (4% each) and jowar (3%) declined.

The index for 'Non-Food Articles' group rose by 0.3% to 236.8 from 236.0 for the previous week due to higher prices of fodder (4%) and groundnut seed (2%). However, the prices of raw wool (4%), raw silk and raw rubber (2% each) and copra and linseed (1% each) declined.

The index for fuel and power rose by 0.1% to 327.9 from 327.5 for the previous week due to higher prices of naphtha (2%).

The index of manufactured products rose by 0.05% to 205.9 from 205.8 last week. In this group, food products grew marginally to 233.3 from 233.2 from last week due to higher prices of cakes & sweet roles (9%) and sugar (1%). However, the prices of rice bran oil (4%) and imported edible oil and cotton seed oil (2% each) declined.

The index for 'Textiles' group rose by 0.3% to 143.1 from 142.7 for the previous week due to higher prices of hessian cloth (6%) and hessian & sacking bags (2%).

The index for 'Chemicals & Chemical Products' group rose marginally to 228.3 from 228.2 for the previous week due to higher prices of phenol (15%) and p.v.c. resins (5%).

On 1 July 2009 government hiked petrol and diesel prices by Rs 4 and Rs 2 per litre respectively. However Kerosene and LPG prices were left untouched. Recently we have seen surge in oil prices globally which added pressure on fuel sale losses for oil companies domestically (specially the public sector oil companies). In this regard government decided to pass the burden on to the end users. However there is no change in Kerosene and LPG prices, which has given relief to Aam admi. This rise in prices may be reflected in rising inflation figures. Ironically higher food inflation is already adding pressure on individual as they are paying higher price to purchase daily consumer goods.

The Economic Survey 2008-09 said the government should decontrol petrol and diesel prices as long as the domestic prices remain below the cost of import, demand would continue to grow accentuating the negative impact. The decontrolling of petrol and diesel prices may add further stress on common man's pocket.

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