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Thursday, July 29, 2010

Primary articles inflation eases to eight months low at 14.50%

Food articles inflation moves into single digit after 13 months 

The index for primary articles group rose by 0.4% to 308.8 (Provisional) during the week ended 17 July 2010 from 307.5 (Provisional) for the previous week.

The annual rate of inflation, calculated on point to point basis, stood at 14.50% (Provisional) for the week ended 17 July 2010 compared with 16.48% last week and 8.18% during the week 18 July 2009. However, this was the lowest pace of annual rise since 13.1% growth recorded in the week ended 14 November 2009.

The index for 'Food Articles' group rose by 0.6% to 299.3 (Provisional) from 297.6 (Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of fish-marine (3%), gram and milk (2% each) and mutton, urad, wheat, tea and maize (1% each). Meanwhile, the prices of fish-inland and rice (1% each) declined. The annual rate of food inflation eased to 13 months low of 9.7% in the week ended 17 July 2010.

The index for 'Non-Food Articles' group rose by 0.2% to 288.6 (Provisional) from 288.1 (Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of rape & mustard seed and sunflower (2% each) and raw silk, raw jute, groundnut seed and copra (1% each). However, the prices of raw cotton (1%) declined. 

The index for fuel and power group declined by 0.1% to 386.3 (Provisional) from 386.7 (Provisional) for the previous week due to lower prices of naphtha, light diesel oil and furnace oil (1% each). The annual rate of inflation, calculated on point to point basis stood at 14.29% (Provisional) for the week ended 17 July 2010 over 14.27% last week and (-) 10.63% during 18 July 2009. 

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has announced the first quarter review of Annual Monetary Policy Statement for 2010-11. The most of the moves/action from the RBI were in line with expectations, except more aggressive hike in reverse repo rate. RBI raised the repo rate, the rate at which it lends short term funds to scheduled banks, by 25 bps to 5.75%, while the reverse repo rate, the rate at which RBI absorbs additional liquidity from the banking system, was hiked sharply by 50 bps to 4.50%.

RBI said that the dominant concern that has shaped the monetary policy stance in this review is high inflation. With growth taking firm hold, the balance of policy stance has to shift decisively to containing inflation and anchoring inflationary expectations.

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