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Friday, July 09, 2010

Crude ends higher for second straight day

Prices rose today due to positive economic data across Wall Street 

Crude oil prices ended higher for second straight day on Thursday, 08 July 2010 at Nymex. Prices rose yesterday for first time in seven sessions. Prices rose today due to positive economic data across Wall Street, which raised hopes of higher oil demand in coming months.
On Thursday, crude-oil futures for light sweet crude for August delivery closed at $75.44/barrel (higher by $1.37 or 1.8%). Last week, prices shed 8.5%. 

For the month of June, oil prices shed 2.7%. Crude ended second quarter of CY 2010 lower by 9.3%. For the first quarter of this year, crude rose by 5.5%. Year to date, crude is higher by 5.7%. 

In the latest weekly inventory report on oil, energy department reported today a decline of 5 million barrels in the nation's crude-oil inventories last week. The market had expected the draw. The EIA also reported an increase of 1.3 million barrels for gasoline stockpiles and an increase of 300,000 for distillates stocks. 

Among economic data, the Labor Department in US reported on Thursday, 08 July 2010 that the number of people filing first-time claims for unemployment benefits sank 21,000 in the latest week to a still-high 454,000, maintaining a recent see-saw pattern. Market expected a figure around 460,000. 

Separately, retailers reported mixed June sales on Thursday as hot weather-induced buying and Memorial Day sales weren't enough to offset declining consumer confidence and disappointing economic reports that have led to uneven traffic and a pull-back in spending. 

Late Wednesday, the International Monetary Fund raised its outlook for global economic growth for 2010 and pegged its forecast for U.S. growth at 3.3%. However, the IMF's updated estimate also warned of looming risk coming out of Europe's debt issues. 

Last week, EIA reported that it still expects global oil demand to rise by 1.5 million barrels a day in 2010 and 2011, but that it had originally underestimated oil consumption for 2009. Consequently, the U.S. agency's demand forecast for 2010 and 2011 is higher than in last month's outlook. 

On Thursday, reformulated gasoline for August delivery added 3 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $2.05 a gallon. 

Also on Thursday, natural-gas futures for August delivery declined 17 cents, or 3.6%, to $4.40 per million British thermal units. Earlier Thursday, the EIA showed a larger-than-expected increase in natural-gas stockpiles. The EIA reported an increase by 78 billion cubic feet for the week ended 2 July, while market had expected an increase of 70 to 74 billion cubic feet. 

Crude ended FY 2009 higher by 78%, the highest yearly gain since 1999. It reached a high of $82 earlier in October 2009 and hit a low of $33.98 on 12 February 2009. Crude prices had ended FY 2008 lower by 54%, the largest yearly loss since trading began at Nymex. 

At the MCX, crude oil for July delivery closed higher by Rs 65 (1.9%) at Rs 3,540/barrel. 
Natural gas for July delivery closed at Rs 207.3, lower by Rs 8.9 (4.1%).

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