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Thursday, November 26, 2009

‘Boring banking' perspective in India- RBI Governor

Need of financial inclusion, Infrastructure and proper risk management 

Banks have been at the heart of the global financial crisis and bankers are widely seen as being responsible for the crisis. One of the more influential ideas, one that has generated a vigorous debate, has been the thesis put forward by the noted economist and Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman that the way to reform banking is to once again make it boring. Krugman argues that there is a negative correlation between the ‘business model' of banking and economic stability. Whenever banking got exciting and interesting, paid well and attracted intellectual talent, it got way out of hand and jeopardized the stability of the real sector. Conversely, periods when banking was dull and boring were also periods of economic progress.

In a speech , Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England addressed the moral hazard issue: why were banks willing to take risks that proved so damaging to themselves and the rest of the economy? The problem, according to Governor King, was that financial institutions became too important to be allowed to fail. His solution: restrict banking to its traditional “utility” function - performing basic retail financial intermediation of deposit taking and lending, and providing payment and settlement services; and hive off the riskier financial services such as proprietary trading into a separate entity. In what has come quickly to be known as the ‘utility and casino' model, the ‘utility' will be heavily regulated and will enjoy implicit government guarantee while the ‘casino' will be left to the discipline of market forces.

Back to basic 

In Guhan Memorial Lecture last month, Dr. Reddy, former Governor of the Reserve Bank of India called for ‘back to basics' in banking and urged that banks must curb the tendency towards further financialization of deposits they mobilize and must focus instead on lending to real sectors of the economy, particularly agriculture and the small and medium industries, that have limited ability to tap the capital markets. Although neither Governor King nor former Governor Reddy mentioned ‘boring banking', in a sense both of them were calling for what can stylistically be interpreted as boring banking.

‘Boring banking' perspective in India? 

Dr. Duvvuri Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India has expressed view on the same at the International Finance and Banking Conference organized by the Indian Merchants' Chamber on ‘Banking - Crisis and Beyond' The conference had examined the problems and prospects of the banking industry in the context of the ongoing economic crisis. At the occasion, RBI's governor has discussed the changing face of Indian banking with its various aspects.

As the pace of globalisation and financial innovation gained momentum, and encouraged by an extended period of monetary accommodation, banks entered into areas of activity that had earlier been the preserve of non-bank institutions. Banks looked for, and exploited, opportunities to shift profitable but risky businesses to entities outside the regulatory purview. To economize on capital requirements, banks developed new structured products to distribute the credit risk, they also found new special purpose entities and vehicles to handle them. The structured investment vehicles quickly spawned a vast ‘shadow banking' network that operated and thrived outside the perimeter of bank regulation. With few regulatory restrictions and no coordinated oversight, they were able to take on risks that they did not fully comprehend. And when the Minsky moment arrived turning the financial mania into panic, the risks reverted to the parent banks causing financial turmoil and economic down turn.

According to Dr Subbarao , The boring banking concept does not appear persuasive even going by more recent evidence and on several counts. However it does not mean that the lessons of the crisis are irrelevant for us. The task for the Indian banks is to learn to compete abroad and to set the terms of competition at home. It is imperative therefore for Indian banks to learn from the successes and failures around the world, study international best practices and adapt them to the Indian conditions. Just as banking around the world is not going to revert to being boring, neither will Indian banking get boring, added by governor. In short, boring banking is an oxymoron in the Indian case.

Challenges before Indian banking 

Among many , financial Inclusion is key concern. Despite its impressive progress, commercial banking in India has not penetrated sufficiently to serve the large mass of rural, illiterate and poor people in any meaningful way. On other hand , the biggest supply constraint is of infrastructure - physical, social and urban. The Eleventh Five Year Plan targets increase in infrastructure investment from around 5 % of GDP in 2006/07 to 9 % by 2011/12. A big issue in bank financing of infrastructure is the asset-liability mismatch. A While infrastructure typically requires long term funding, the deposits of banks, their main source of funds, are relatively short-term. The problem of asset-liability mismatch in long term financing is not unique to India; banks elsewhere too face the same problem. But in advanced economies, the long-term finance space is filled by insurance companies and pension and provident funds. If some of the pending legislation gets through, in India too we can expect new sources of long-term financing to open up. But until that happens, the burden of infrastructure financing will have to be met largely by the banks.

To assist the banks, RBI has also relaxed the exposure norms. The one of the biggest challenge has always related with risk. There are various types of risks like credit risk, operational risk and market risk. As of March 2009, all Indian banks have migrated to the simpler approaches of the Basel II standard. The task on the way forward is to graduate to more advanced approaches. Towards this end, in consultation with banks, the Reserve Bank has now finalized a four-year time frame starting in April 2010 and ending with March 2014.

The challenge for Indian banks, therefore, is to reduce costs and pass on the benefits to both depositors and lenders, said , RBI Governor in his remarks.

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