HOME         WEBSITE         SUBSCRIBE           E-GREETINGS   
                               

Friday, October 23, 2009

Crude ends marginally lower

Prices drop on the back of weak economic data 


Crude prices ended little lower at Nymex on Thursday, 22 October, 2009. Prices fell due to the weaker than expected economic report that hit the wires today. The strong dollar was also the reason why crude pared its early gains today.

On Thursday, crude-oil futures for light sweet crude for December delivery closed at $81.84/barrel (lower by $0.12 or 0.1%). Earlier during the day, it fell to a low of $79.84. but also rose past $82. Last week, crude ended higher by 9.4%, the biggest weekly gain in two months. In the past two weeks, crude has climbed up by almost 18%.

For the month of September, 2009, crude ended higher by a marginal 0.9%. For the third quarter, crude ended higher by just 1%. Crude prices had rallied 40% and 11.3% in the second and first quarter of 2009 respectively.

Oil prices had reached a high of $147 on 11 July, 2008 but have dropped almost 55.7% since then. Year to date, in 2009, crude prices are higher by 60%.

The Labor Department in US reported on Thursday, 22 October, 2009 that initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose for the week that ended on 17 October, 2009, after two straight weekly declines. First-time claims for the week ended 17 October were up 11,000 to 531,000. The prior week's claims level was revised higher by 6,000 to stand at 520,000.

The four-week moving average of new claims, considered a better gauge of the labor market by smoothing out volatility in the weekly data, inched lower by 750 to 532,250, the lowest level since mid-January. This was the seventh consecutive drop in the four-week average.

EIA reported yesterday that crude inventories rose 1.3 million barrels in the week ended 16 October. Market was expecting a buildup figure to the tune of 2.2 million barrels. Imports fell to 8.7 million barrels a day in the latest week. The EIA also reported that petroleum demand remained weak, with demand for gasoline falling to the lowest level in more than five months.

The report also stated that gasoline inventory declined by 2.3 million barrels and the decline was 800,000 barrels for distillates, which include heating oil and diesel.

In the currency market on Thursday, the dollar index, which calculates the strength of the dollar against a basket of six other currencies rose by almost 0.2%. Earlier during the day, it rose by almost 0.6%.

Among other energy related products, November gasoline futures lost 0.5% to $2.0442, and November heating oil slid 0.5% to $2.0946.

Also on Thursday, November natural gas lost 3% to $4.947 per million British thermal units. The EIA reported today that U.S. inventories rose 18 billion cubic feet in the week ended 16 October, 2009.

Crude prices had ended FY 2008 lower by 54%, the largest yearly loss since trading began at Nymex.

At the MCX, crude oil for November delivery closed lower by Rs 22 (0.6%) at Rs 3,759/barrel. Natural gas for October delivery closed lower by Rs 12.6 (5.24%) at Rs 230.5/mmbtu.

Blog Archive

____________________________________________________________________________________________

Disclaimer - All investments in Mutual Funds and securities are subject to market risks and uncertainty of dividend distributions and the NAV of schemes may go up or down depending upon factors and forces affecting securities markets generally. The past performance of the schemes is not necessarily indicative of the future performance and may not necessarily provide a basis for comparison with other investments. Investors are advised to go through the respective offer documents before making any investment decisions. Prospective client(s) are advised to go through all comparable products in offer before taking any investment decisions. Mutual Funds and securities investments are subject to market risks and there is no assurance or guarantee that the objectives of the fund will be achieved. Information gathered & material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. Decisions based on the information provided on this newsletter/document are for your own account and risk.


In the preparation of the material contained in this document, Varun Vaid has used information that is publicly available, including information developed in-house. Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from members/persons other than the Varun Vaid and which may have been made available to Varun Vaid. Information gathered & material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. Varun Vaid however does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and/or completeness of any information. For data reference to any third party in this material no such party will assume any liability for the same. Varun Vaid does not in any way through this material solicit any offer for purchase, sale or any financial transaction/commodities/products of any financial instrument dealt in this material. All recipients of this material should before dealing and or transacting in any of the products referred to in this material make their own investigation, seek appropriate professional advice.


Varun Vaid, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any decision taken on the basis of this material. All recipients of this material should before dealing and/or transacting in any of the products referred to in this material make their own investigation, seek appropriate professional advice. The investments discussed in this material may not be suitable for all investors. Any person subscribing to or investigating in any product/financial instruments should do soon the basis of and after verifying the terms attached to such product/financial instrument. Financial products and instruments are subject to market risks and yields may fluctuate depending on various factors affecting capital/debt markets. Please note that past performance of the financial products and instruments does not necessarily indicate the future prospects and performance there of. Such past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Varun Vaid, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material may; (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation in the financial instruments/products/commodities discussed here in or act as advisor or lender / borrower in respect of such securities/financial instruments/products/commodities or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The said person may have acted upon and/or in a manner contradictory with the information contained here. No part of this material may be duplicated in whole or in part in any form and or redistributed without the prior written consent of Varun Vaid. This material is strictly confidential to the recipient and should not be reproduced or disseminated to anyone else.


Varun Vaid also does not take any responsibility for the contents of the advertisements published. Readers are advised to verify the contents on their own before acting there upon.


Published Credits goes to following sources & all the mentioned sources as footer below the published material- Bloomberg, Valueresearch Online, Capital Market, Navindia, Franklin Templeton, Kitco, SBI AMC, LIC AMC, JM Financial AMC, HDFC AMC, The Hindu, Business Line, Personal FN, Economic Times, Reuters, Outlook Money, Business Standard, Times of India etc.