Thursday, May 20, 2010

Precious metals turn pale

Prices drop in tandem with equities and oil 

Precious metals ended lower on mixed on Wednesday, 19 May at Comex. Prices fell as traders anticipated that recent rally in precious metals last week was overdone. Prices also fell in tandem with US equities and other commodities. 

Generally, a stronger dollar pressures demand for dollar-denominated commodities, such as crude oil and gold, which become more expensive for holders of other currencies and also vice versa. 

On Wednesday, gold for June delivery ended at $1,193.1 an ounce, lower by $21.5 (1.8%) an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Today's session at Wall Street was clouded by Germany's temporary ban on the naked short-selling of several derivatives and instruments. A sliding U.S. stock market and further losses for oil took a toll on gold as investors sold bullion to cover margin calls in stocks and other commodities. Gold for June delivery had settled above $1,200 in early December, only to pull back to $1,172 area and dip as much as the $1,050 vicinity in early February. 

Last week, gold ended higher by 1.5%. For the month of April, gold ended higher by 6%. For the first quarter of this year, gold rose by 1.7%, its sixth quarterly rise. On a year to date basis, gold is higher by 8.7%. 

On Wednesday, July Comex silver futures ended lower by 79 cents (4.2%) at $18.08 an ounce. Last week, silver ended higher by 4.1%. For the month of April, silver ended higher by 4.1%. For the first quarter of this year, silver rose by 3%. On a year to date basis, silver is higher by 2.6%. 

Today's trading once again saw some renewed strength in the euro. Though the euro made its best single-session gain against the greenback in nearly one year, the lack of any new developments in Europe led many to believe that the bounce was little more than a relief rally that squeezed short sellers. In turn, stocks showed little sustained reaction to the euro's climb. 

Among economic data for the day, The Labor Department in US reported on Wednesday, 19 May 2010 that consumer prices in the U.S. fell 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis in April as energy, housing, auto and apparel prices declined. It was the first decline in the consumer price index since March 2009. The consumer price index is up 2.2% in the past year. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices to get a better view of underlying inflation, was unchanged in April, lowering the year-over-year increase in core inflation to 0.9%, the lowest rate since January 1966. 

Gold had ended FY 2009 higher by 24%. Silver futures had ended 2009 up 50%. The dollar index had lost 4.2% against its counterparts last year. 

Last year, after hitting a low at $807.30 per ounce on 15 January 2009, gold futures rallied almost 51% to hit an all-time high at $1217.40 per ounce during early December of 2009 but fell from those levels at the end. Silver futures had hit a low at $10.42 on 15 January 2009 and hit a high at $19.30 per ounce on 2 December 2009. Like gold, silver also ended lower than its all time high level. 

At the MCX, gold prices for June delivery closed higher by Rs 10 (0.05%) at Rs 18,018 per ten grams. Prices rose to a high of Rs 18,291 per 10 grams and fell to a low of Rs 17,976 per 10 grams during the day's trading. 

At the MCX, silver prices for July delivery closed Rs 493 (1.7%) lower at Rs 28,762/Kg. Prices opened at Rs 29,220/kg and fell to a low of Rs 28,590/Kg during the day's trading.