Tuesday, December 15, 2009

India will grow at 7%: ADB

Asia set for speedy recovery 

Emerging East Asian economies have performed better than anticipated, thanks to swift policy responses and an improved external environment. The region is set for a speedy recovery this year and in 2010 according to ADB's latest economy review.

The Asian Development Bank's (ADB) report released today, forecasted that the 14 economies of emerging East Asia will grow by 4.2% this year and by 6.8% in 2010. That is higher than the 3.6% and 6.5% respectively forecasted for the region in September's update. Emerging East Asia comprises the 10 economies of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations plus the People's Republic of China (PRC); Hong Kong, China; Republic of Korea; and Taipei, China.

"Emerging East Asia is rebounding strongly and growth rates next year are likely to slightly outpace 2008 in most countries," said Jong-Wha Lee, ADB's Chief Economist and head of the Office of Regional Economic Integration which prepared the report. ADB raised its forecast for growth in developing Asia to 4.5% this year and 6.6% in 2010. Developing Asia comprises 45 member countries of the ADB.

Meanwhile, ADB now expects growth in India to be 7.0% this year, one percentage point higher than previously expected, but has kept the 2010 forecast unchanged, also at 7.0%.

"The global economic situation is changing rapidly, necessitating frequent reassessments. The prospects for much of the region look rosier than they did in September when we last did a full study of the region. Fiscal and monetary stimulus policies and a moderate improvement in the G3 economies of Europe, Japan and the US helped East Asia and Southeast Asia in particular," said Jong-Wha Lee, ADB's Chief Economist.