Friday, December 11, 2009

Crude stays around $70 level

Natural gas prices spurt up by almost 8% as inventories drop unexpectedly 


Crude prices extended its losing streak and ended lower for seventh straight day on Thursday, 10 December, 2009. Prices remained around $70 barrel and also dropped below that for a brief period of time on that day. But natural gas prices registered a sharp rise.

On Thursday, crude-oil futures for light sweet crude for January delivery closed at $70.54/barrel (lower by $0.13 or 0.2%). The contract has lost almost 10% in the past seven sessions. Last week, crude ended lower by 0.8%. Crude ended month of November, higher by 0.4%.

Oil prices had reached a high of $147 on 11 July, 2008 but have dropped almost 57.3% since then.

In the currency market on Thursday, the dollar stayed relatively steady against its counterparts. But the euro climbed up more than 0.1% against the dollar.

Among economic data today, The Labor Department in US reported on Thursday, 10 December, 2009 that the number of people filing claims for state unemployment benefits rose by 17,000 to a seasonally adjusted 474,000 in the week ending 5 December, 2009. Market had expected initial claims to fall to about 450,000. The total number of people claiming benefits of any kind topped 10 million. First-time claims, which measure new layoffs, rose for the first time in six weeks in the week after Thanksgiving.

The EIA reported a day earlier that U.S. gasoline inventories rose 2.2 million barrels in the week ended 5 December, 2009. Distillate stockpiles, which include heating oil and diesel, rose 1.6 million barrels.

The Energy Department also reported on Wednesday that crude inventories fell 3.8 million barrels last week against an expected increase of 800,000 barrels. At 336.1 million barrels, crude inventories were above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year. Total petroleum inventories, including crude oil, gasoline and other fuels, decreased by 4.3 million barrels last week to 1,086.3 million barrels, also above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.

Crude inventories dropped during the week as crude imports fell 3.1% to 8.14 million barrels a day last week. Refineries used 13.9 million barrels a day of oil last week, up 0.6% from a week ago. The utilization rate rose slightly to 81.1%, a level that's still much lower than last year.

Earlier during the week, in the latest monthly report the EIA reported that it expects oil prices to average $76 a barrel this winter from October to March. The price target came just $1 lower than the previous month's forecast. The agency expects prices will dip to $75 early next year and will then rise to $82 a barrel by December 2010.

The report also suggested that the average retail price for regular gasoline will rise to $2.83 a gallon next year from this year's $2.35 a gallon and that pump prices could approach $3 a gallon during next year's driving season. The EIA also said U.S. oil consumption is projected to average 18.7 million barrels a day this year, about 800,000 barrels a day, or 4.1%, lower than last year. Oil demand will rise 270,000 barrels a day next year from this year's level.

Among other energy products on Thursday, January gasoline slid 2.22 cents, or 1.2%, to $1.8351 a gallon, January heating oil fell slightly to $1.9029 a gallon.

Also on Thursday, natural gas for January delivery rose 40 cents, or 8.2%, to $5.298 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. EAI reported today that after nearly nine months of build-ups, natural gas stockpiles declined from their record highs, down 64 billion cubic feet in the week ended 4 December, 2009. Despite the decline, natural gas stocks, at 3,773 billion cubic feet, were still 472 billion cubic feet higher than last year at this time and 513 billion cubic feet above the five-year average.


Crude prices had ended FY 2008 lower by 54%, the largest yearly loss since trading began at Nymex.

At the MCX, crude oil for December delivery closed lower by Rs 44 (1.3%) at Rs 3,279/barrel. Natural gas for December delivery closed higher by Rs 11.6 (4.9%) at Rs 246.2/mmbtu.